>> Why do some countries export more than they import? And why do others import more than they export? And is now a good time to travel abroad? The answers to all of those questions come down to exchange rates. The nominal exchange rate is the number of foreign currency units that $1 will buy. So if $1 trades for 120 Japanese yen, the U.S. /Japan exchange rate is $1.20. That means that if I want to buy a Japanese car that costs three million yen, I will have to gather up $25,000 to buy it. Likewise, if a Japanese person wants to stream a movie made in the U.S. for $5, they'll need to gather up 600 yen to pay for it. Now consider what happens when the exchange rate rises. Say that $1 trades for 150 Japanese yen, up from 120. So now I only need about $20,000 to buy that car even though its price in yen hasn't changed. At the same time, the Japanese person will need to gather up 750 yen to stream that $5 U.S. movie. When the exchange rate rises, we say that the dollar has appreciated. It's like each dollar has gotten more powerful. So you need fewer of them to purchase something abroad. At the same time, people in foreign countries need to gather up more of their currency to buy something made in the U.S. Now consider what happens when the exchange rate falls. Say that $1 trades for only 100 Japanese yen. So now to buy that three million yen car, I need to gather $30,000. At the same time, the Japanese person will only need to gather up 500 yen to stream the $5 U.S. movie. When the exchange rate falls, we say that the dollar has depreciated. It's like each dollar has gotten less powerful. So you need more of them to purchase something from abroad. At the same time, people in foreign countries need to gather up fewer of their currency to buy something made in the U.S. All of this is crying out for a graph so here it is. The exchange rate is on the vertical axis, and the volume of imports and exports is on the horizontal. At low exchange rates, dollars aren't very powerful, so it takes a lot of them to buy something from another country. So imports are low. But at high exchange rates, we only need a few of those powerful dollars to buy foreign good. So imports are a lot higher. That gives us an upward sloping relationship between imports and exchange rates. At low exchange rates, people in other countries don't need money of their currency units to buy something from the U.S., so they buy a lot and the exports from the U.S. are high. But at high exchange rates, people in foreign countries have to gather many of their currency units to buy something from the U.S. So they buy very little. So exports from the U.S. are low. That gives a downward sloping relationship between exports and exchange rates. Now you want to focus on where those two lines across and say that that's the equilibrium. Fight the urge. Unlike supply and demand, there's nothing to say that the exchange rate must land where imports equal exports. Fact, the exchange rate is usually somewhere else, and that's what drives the difference between a country's imports and exports. When the exchange rate is high, imports are high, exports are low, and the country runs a trade deficit. When the exchange rate is low, imports are low, exports are high, and the country runs a trade surplus. What moves that exchange rate around? The exchange rate moves in response to the demand for a country's currency which usually reflects the strength of its economy relative to other countries. And the level of its interest rates in investment returns relative to other countries. So if you want to travel abroad, wait until your currency appreciates, and then you can do it on the cheap. But if your currency depreciates, time for a staycation [phonetic].